What Will Happen In 2024

As we enter 2024, the capital markets have found their footing and are moving higher. The Fed has taken interest rates as far as they want at this time and inflation has come down. It seems that a “soft landing” is likely. That is good news for the innovation economy because healthy capital markets are a necessary support system.
Addded Jan 5, 2024

The Cleanse

I've never done a cleanse. But many of my friends and family members have done them. There are various flavors of cleanses but the basic idea is you cut back your consumption of food and drink and replace it with mostly liquid nutrition for anywhere from a day to a month.
Addded Feb 1, 2023

Why Web3?

Over the last month, there has been a ton of debate and conversation about web2 vs web3 with many leading voices raising doubts about web3. Debate and doubt are healthy. And web3 enthusiasts, particularly on Twitter, remind me of missionaries trying to recruit the unwashed to their belief system.
Addded Dec 30, 2021

Buying Crypto Assets

A number of friends have been asking us how to buy crypto assets. This is not the first time we've gotten this question and it won't be the last. When I first started getting this question, my answer was "open a Coinbase account and buy Bitcoin."
Addded Nov 10, 2021

IRAs and Wealth Creation

A couple of years ago, I wrote about buying crypto in an IRA. I went and did that with an old unused IRA that was sitting in cash and I have 8x’d the value of that IRA in the last 18 months. While my family is fortunate that we don’t have to rely on our IRAs to generate wealth like this, many folks do.
Addded Oct 8, 2021

NYC’s Tech Resurgence

Early in the pandemic, we were all deluged with stories of tech workers, companies, and founders leaving Silicon Valley for Miami and Austin. And that was true. But from my personal experience, they also left for many other places too, including Los Angeles and New York City.
Addded Sep 30, 2021

Office Utilization - AVC

I saw a statistic from one of our larger portfolio companies yesterday. They have had their offices around the world open for some time now with office usage optional. They are seeing office utilization rates of around "20-30%." They are also seeing "flexibility" as the number one issue in recruiting new talent.
Addded Aug 24, 2021

Regulating Software

I understand that regulators and elected officials need to raise concerns about new technologies and their impact on society. It is their job or at least part of their job. But I am also dismayed regularly by how poorly many elected officials and regulators understand the technologies they are talking about.
Addded Jun 26, 2021

Meme Investing

I remember when a friend of mine told me five or six years ago that he had bought some Dogecoin. I thought "what is he doing?" and dismissed it as something silly and or crazy. Dogecoin was initially introduced in late 2013 and 7 1/2 years later it has amassed a market cap of $43bn [...]
Addded Jun 14, 2021

Golden Handcuffs

Stock-based compensation plans throughout the startup and tech sector are based on "golden handcuffs" - the idea that an employee can't leave because they would be giving up too much money if they do. I've never loved that concept. It feels like staying in a bad marriage for the kids.
Addded May 13, 2021

Staying Positive

One of the gifts that I got was the ability to stay positive. I am grateful to my parents, my wife, and my genes (and anyone else responsible too). It is such a superpower. I don't just mean optimism. I mean saying nice things about people. I mean keeping a smile on your face.
Addded Mar 29, 2021

Crypto and Climate

I keep reading that Bitcoin, Ethereum, NFTs, etc are a climate issue. It is true that proof of work mining which secures the Bitcoin and Ethereum blockchains uses electricity to do that work. And certainly there are carbon emissions associated with that electricity consumption. However, it is not as simple as that for the following [...]
Addded Mar 9, 2021

Exposure Alerting

Christina Farr at CNBC has a good post that details the back story of how Apple and Google came together to implement an interoperable system and a set of APIs and SDKs to allow third parties to build exposure alerting apps on their mobile operating systems. Like many in tech, I have been interested in ...
Addded Apr 30, 2020

The Great Public Market Reckoning

Dan Primack wrote in his friday newsletter: Public market investors have become less willing to leave their comfort zones, and it's manifesting most obviously in the IPO market.Novel disruption has fallen out of favor, with many preferring more time-tested models like enterprise SaaS and biotech.
Addded Sep 30, 2019

Mobile Ticketing

The Gotham Gal and I walked into the Musee de l’Orangerie yesterday and found a line of about 20 people waiting to purchase tickets to enter. The Gotham Gal whipped out her phone, went to the Orangerie website, and bought two tickets that were sent to her phone. It took her less than a minute […]
Addded Jun 16, 2019

Exploring An Investment Thesis

That "hacking around in social media" taught me so much that I could not have learned reading or talking to people. Of course, I did those things too, but getting my hands dirty with the technology and ideas helped me understand them and see the power of them and invest in them before others did.
Addded May 14, 2019

The Mobile Phone Generation

But maybe the most amazing thing, to me anyway, is that my mom has pretty much stopped using her land line phone. She tells everyone to call her on her mobile phone. For a generation that arrived on planet earth around the same time as the rotary telephone to be abandoning the landline phone in favor of a mobile phone is really something to see.
Addded May 2, 2019

The Spotify Apple Issue

Many people who follow tech know that Spotify has filed a complaint with the European Commission regarding the challenges that Spotify has doing business in the iOS app store. I am very sympathetic to Spotify's complaint.
Addded Mar 19, 2019

Getting Credit – AVC

Last night CBS 60 Minutes aired a piece about the gender gap in tech and left out a number of important efforts to close the gap. My friend Rob Underwood tweeted this out about that piece: I admire work of my friend @hadip & the org he started, @codeorg.
Addded Mar 5, 2019

The Amazon Backlash

In my view, politicians like Gianaris and Ocasio-Cortez are being irresponsible and reckless in their opposition to Amazon while playing politics with something that is without question good for NYC, good for Queens, and good for their voters. Their voters know it and so should they.
Addded Feb 14, 2019

The Free And Open Internet

I realize that publications need to have a business model to stay afloat. And the past month has seen a number of online publications (and offline publications) layoff a large number of employees. So it isn't even clear that all of these hard paywalls, soft paywalls, and advertising based models are going to make the online publishing business work.
Addded Feb 11, 2019

The Send To All Mistake

I send emails to busy people a lot. And what I have learned is that I need to address them directly, write the note personally so that it is obvious that I have written it myself, and then copy someone (usually their assistant, but often a colleague as well) to make sure they see it.
Addded Jan 28, 2019

Funding Films, Continued

The Gotham Gal and I have been at the Sundance Film Festival this weekend. We've seen a nice mix of documentaries and feature films. And in the feature film category we've seen mainstream crowd pleasers like Mindy Kaling's Late Night which Amazon bought for a bundle and indie films that may struggle to find a mainstream audience.
Addded Jan 27, 2019

Centralization vs. Decentralization

Decentralization is one of, if not the most, discussed features of the crypto tech stack. In a decentralized system, no single body controls the system. We have most certainly not reached the era fully decentralized systems, but that is what most of the world-class technologists working in the crypto sector are focused on getting us to and I believe we will get there in the not too distant future.
Addded Dec 3, 2018

Pivot or Fail?

The Pivot is celebrated in startup land. Huge successes like Twitter and Slack are all the results of pivots. So surely pivoting is a good thing, right? Well, I am not so sure. And I certainly don't want entrepreneurs to think that pivoting is the right thing to do when their original idea fails.
Addded Nov 19, 2018

Broken Syndicates

One of the most challenging situations in startup/venture capital land is the broken syndicate. It is not a topic that is talked about much, but it is fairly common, particularly for companies that succeed in building a business but falter at achieving escape velocity.
Addded Nov 5, 2018

Fred Wilson: Peak Valley?

The Economist has a cover story this week called Peak Valley. The article suggests that Silicon Valley's lead as a hub for innovation has peaked and other regions are rising. It ends with the concern that innovation more broadly has peaked. I somewhat agree with "the rise of elsewhere" narrative and disagree that innovation has peaked.
Addded Sep 3, 2018

Human Capital

Today is Labor Day in the US. It is a day to celebrate labor, the union movement, and the role of the worker in our economy and our society. I have always struggled with the idea that labor and capital are intrinsically opposed to each other. It is obvious that workers have been taken advantage of by employers since the dawn of an industrialized society and possibly/probably for much longer than that. But does it have to be that way?
Addded Sep 3, 2018
rant n' rave
rant:// Fred Wilson nails the MoviePass business plan, albeit three years ago and in abstraction. When you lose money to gain market share, it seems like you have a clear path to profitability. But clear and easy are very, very different

Negative Gross Margins

There's been a lot of talk coming out of silicon valley lately about fast growing companies with high valuations that are going to face problems in the coming year(s).
Addded Aug 15, 2018

Drinking From The Crypto Firehose

It is my view and our view at USV that the crypto market is in what Carlota Perez calls the installation phase. We believe that we are still putting the pieces in place for a new technology architecture to take hold. The "big bang" for this technology cycle was the publishing of Satoshi's whitepaper, almost ten years ago.
Addded Jul 29, 2018

Cutting The Cord/Trashing The Dish

In the week that passed, we had another no-show appointment by DirectTV, more success watching whatever we want on our AppleTVs, and on Friday I called up DirectTV and canceled my re-install order for our beach house once and for all and we are now officially off of traditional "cable TV" out here.
Addded Jul 22, 2018
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